The
first baseball game I ever saw was in Yankee
Stadium when I was ten years old. At that time,
the Yankees had players now considered baseball
immortals: Phil Rizzuto, Joe Dimaggio, Tommy
Henrich, Charlie Keller, and others. The Yankees
closer was Joe Page who, when summoned into a
game, always climbed over the bullpen gate like
a little boy, awestruck with wonder. All were
products of the traditional scouting system,
operating without the benefit of knowing a
player's slugging percentage, on-base
percentage, or a pitcher's WAR (wins above
replacement). Scouts had to recommend players
based on past performance, personal observation,
and something intangible - their best sense of
who would and who would not make it in the major
leagues.
Those days are past, however, and today every
team uses a computerized analysis of a player's
value called “sabermetrics,” which is supposed
to provide information such as how often a
player will get on base. This new approach is
dramatized in Bennett Miller's Moneyball, an
entertaining and often moving film that may be
an early contender for an Oscar Best Picture
nomination. Adapted by Steven Zaillian and Aaron
Sorkin from the book “Moneyball: The Art of
Winning an Unfair Game” by Michael Lewis, the
film stars the charismatic Brad Pitt as Billy
Beane, a former player who became the General
Manager of the Oakland Athletics in 1998,
and who changed the game forever.
Using authentic recreations as well as archival
footage, Moneyball opens in 2002, one year after
the Oakland Athletics were eliminated from the
playoffs by the New York Yankees. As GM, Beane
has the daunting task of replacing three of his
key players, including Johnny Damon and Jason
Giambi, who signed with Boston and New York. In
flashbacks, we learn that the young Billy Beane
(Reed Thompson) was heralded by scouts as a
“five-tool” player who signed him out of high
school in 1979, convincing him to give up a full
scholarship to Stanford to play for the New York
Mets. The scouts guessed wrong on this one and,
after a brief and unsuccessful career as a
player, he turned to scouting and then
management.
Perhaps bitter about his history with scouts, he
now chides his scouting staff for their efforts
to find bargain replacements for his departed
stars, and makes a plea to ownership for more
money. Things take a sharp turn, however, when
Beane has a chance meeting with Peter Brand
(Jonah Hill), an Economics graduate from Yale
University, who is working for the Cleveland
Indians. Brand is a disciple of Bill James, the
man who developed sabermetrics and who had come
to believe that a player's ability to get on
base (on-base percentage) through a combination
of hits and walks was more important to the team
than just his batting average.
After Brand tells Beane that there's “an
epidemic failure to understand what is really
happening” in the game, Beane snatches him away
from the Indians and appoints him as his
personal assistant. Together, they use
statistical analysis to seek out players whose
value to other teams may have diminished, and
who are now available at a lower price. Beane
immediately receives strong opposition from his
manager, Art Howe (Philip Seymour Hoffman), a
veteran who is also upset about his one-year
contract, and some flack from his chief scout
Grady Fuson (Ken Medlock), who feels threatened
by the new approach and considers it detrimental
to baseball.
Beane is depicted in the film as being volatile
and aloof, unwilling to travel with the team for
fear of becoming too close to the players. In
spite of his cold exterior, however, the scenes
with his ex-wife (Robin Wright), and his
musically-talented teenage daughter (Kerris
Dorsey) show him to be a warm and caring person.
The game of baseball is his passion and, even
when his team goes on a record breaking winning
streak in 2002, he maintains that nothing
matters to him except winning the final game and
that his real goal is to change the way teams
are constructed.
Supported by outstanding performances,
especially those of Pitt and Hill, Moneyball
stays away from sports clichés and always
seems fresh and alive. Today, nine years after
2002, the year in which the film is set,
sabermetrics has become an accepted part of the
game. Unfortunately, however, in the same way
that the quality of a film has become less
important to the studios than its appeal to
target audiences, baseball teams may have become
too reliant on statistical analysis. While it
can never completely reinvent the game, it
extends its reach today, not only in the
recruitment of players, but also in day-to-day
decision-making where “playing the percentages”
often trumps common sense.
Though statistics are useful as a tool, baseball
will never be a science. It is a game of
measureless intangibles, of emotion and desire,
of late inning heroics and dramatic comebacks.
Unscripted and unpredictable, it is a game of
grace and skill, “a ballet without music, a
drama without words.” To a ten-year-old, “the
stuff as dreams are made on.” The poet
Wordsworth asked, “Where is it now, the glory
and the dream?” It is still there and will
always be, but, perhaps like contemporary
society, the scientist and the artist are
struggling for its soul.
GRADE: A-